Capital Refinery
The private-markets decision-integrity landscape — 48 sources, 14 vendors mapped.Read the research
Private-market early warning + decision record

See the pressure before it surfaces.

Know what changed before it becomes everyone else's problem.

An early-warning system and decision record for every deal. Every KPI traced to source. Every risk surfaced in context. Every decision preserved — before the next board meeting, lender call, covenant test, or IC review.

The problem

The investment story dies at close.

Bain: $3.6 trillion in unrealized value sits on GP balance sheets — because the thesis, the diligence, and the monitoring dashboard all go stale the moment the deal closes.

A monitoring dashboardToday’s KPIs, no link back to entry assumptions or the thesis they invalidate.
An IC recordA CRM marked “closed” and a slide deck rebuilt from scratch every quarter.
Five things firms believe they have at close — and what’s actually left by Q+1

“We live in Excel.” Good. Keep it.

The Excel Model Bridge exports approved, provenance-carrying numbers straight into your own workbook — snapshot-hash verified, with a LIVE / WARN / BLOCKED currency gate.

Capital Refinery vs Excel
On screen

Follow one morning through the instrument.

Five surfaces, one operating loop. Scroll — or jump straight to a step — every figure on these screens is real covenant math on a live seeded portfolio.

01The morning starts in one place

Deals that need attention, sorted by exposure. Portfolio posture, projected covenant breaches, and what changed since the last weekly review.

The morning starts in one place
02Covenant headroom, live

Every covenant across the portfolio with current value, threshold, and headroom — Cedarbrook's FCCR holding 20.0% above its 1.15 floor. Measured, not asserted.

Covenant headroom, live
03Stress it before the quarter does

Three standing shocks on every active deal. The combined downside takes portfolio DSCR from 3.45 to 2.55 — and names which deals give first.

Stress it before the quarter does
04Decisions carry their exposure

Nineteen open decisions ranked by defensibility at current signal age. Flags stack — data confidence, decision health, liquidity — because firms fail from compounded issues, not single ones.

Decisions carry their exposure
05The memo becomes the record

The IC memorandum with revenue, DSCR, and leverage bound to their sources — and the recommendation anchored as the decision point that future drift is measured against.

The memo becomes the record

Captured from the live product, August 2026. Real extractions, real covenant math — no mockups. Ships in light and dark.

Start your path

Different seat, same fear: don’t let me be surprised by my own book.

Institutions & Investors

Send the next deal through before the room does.

Sellers & Owners

Find out where you actually stand — before your buyer does, for less than a diligence call costs.

Advisors & Channel

Refer one client without wondering what their diligence turns up.

Refer into the IRA$10K min + 10/20%

Prove your modernization work moved the needle.

Duaine McDonald — founder of Capital Refinery
Founder-led access
Duaine McDonald

Built by Duaine McDonald, an AI strategist and fractional Chief AI Officer with 20+ years across enterprise automation, transformation, governance, and AI strategy. The consulting practice runs separately as Enterprise Refinery; Capital Refinery is the software layer that came out of those conversations — the institutional measurement artifact operating companies, advisors, and investment teams kept asking for and could not find anywhere else. Early engagements are reviewed directly by the founder.

Run your next deal through the diagnostic.

We work from your actual diligence pack — CIM, credit agreement, or financial model — and return risk signals, source-backed numbers, and post-IC drift the same day.